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Forecasting the upcoming week: Fed, BoJ, BoE and RBA decisions take center stage

The US Dollar Index (DXY) lost ground during the week, down 0.27% to trade near the 99.80 level as investors prepared for a heavy central bank calendar the following week.

South Korean Won: Authorities step up FX stabilisation push – Societe Generale

Societe Generale highlights that South Korean authorities have launched a multi-pronged FX stabilisation package to address short-term USD funding stress and speculative pressures on the Korean Won.

US Senior Official: Iran deal secures Hormuz reopening, nuclear material

A senior administration official said on Friday that the Iran deal will guarantee long-term peace in the region. The agreement would achieve core US objectives and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The official said that the US would get enriched nuclear material and include an inspection regime.

United Kingdom: Growth resilience but softer inflation – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Sanjay Raja says the UK economy is tracking close to the Bank of England’s Scenario A, with stronger‑than‑expected early‑2026 GDP but a cooling labour market and easing price pressures.

Gold clears $4,200 as optimism on Middle East deal dents inflation woes

Gold (XAU/USD) price consolidates above the $4,200 figure on Friday as market participants are optimistic about a potential US-Iran deal, set to be signed next week, according to newswires. Meanwhile, households in the US are becoming more optimistic about the economy.

South Korean Won: Supported by equities and hawkish BoK – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad highlights strong South Korean asset performance, with South Korean Won (KRW) outperforming and the KOSPI up sharply on AI-led semiconductor strength.

USD/CAD Price Forecast: RSI enters overbought territory as bears defend 1.4000

USD/CAD trades on the front foot on Friday as lower Oil prices weigh on the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) amid cautious optimism that the United States (US) and Iran could reach an agreement that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Japanese Yen: Weakness raises intervention concerns – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report USD/JPY is steady but elevated, with recent gains already surpassing prior intervention-trigger levels. A 25 bps Bank of Japan (BoJ) hike on Tuesday is widely anticipated, and markets price nearly one more increase by December.

Euro holds steady against the US Dollar as markets await clarity on a possible US-Iran peace deal

EUR/USD fluctuates between modest gains and losses heading into the weekend as traders await Tehran's decision on a possible agreement with the United States (US) to end the war in the Middle East. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1573 and is on track to post modest weekly gains.

Chinese Yuan: Policy mix supports stability – Societe Generale

Societe Generale notes that Chinese inflation remains subdued, with May Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 1.2% and core at 1.1%, while PPI has risen to a four-year high, suggesting weak consumer demand and margin pressure.

Dow Jones Industrial Average takes Pakistan's word for it

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) climbed 0.6% on Friday, settling near 51,200 and outperforming the rest of the US majors on a day when the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slipped into the red.

Japanese Yen holds as traders switch focus to BoJ hike and Warsh’s first Fed meeting

The USD/JPY pair trades near the 160.20 region on Friday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains slightly under pressure, while investors prepare for a key central bank week featuring the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy decision and Kevin Warsh’s first Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting as Chair.

Gold pauses recovery as traders await clarity on US-Iran peace deal

Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates on Friday as traders await further developments on a potential US-Iran peace deal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $4,200 after climbing to an intraday high of $4,246 earlier in the day.

Silver price firms on US Dollar weakness amid easing US-Iran haven demand

Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $67.50 on Friday at the time of writing, up 0.21% on the day. The white metal maintains a positive bias despite improving market sentiment driven by diplomatic progress between the United States (US) and Iran.

BoE expected to hold rates as economists split on next move – Reuters poll

A Reuters poll released on Friday found that the Bank of England (BoE) is projected to keep the Bank Rate at 3.75% at the June 18 meeting, based on a survey of 65 economists.

British Pound stalls as UK GDP shrinks, diplomacy boosts risk mood

The Pound Sterling (GBP) turns negative against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday after UK data showed the economy contracted in April, while rising prospects of an agreement between the US and Iran improved risk appetite.

US officials' comments on Iran negotiations put mild pressure on US Dollar

United States Vice President JD Vance said on Friday that Iran would not receive cash or released funds simply for signing a potential agreement, pushing back against what he described as false information surrounding a possible deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end Iran’s nuclear weapons prog

British Pound: Steady against US Dollar before key BoE and data – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note that the British Pound (GBP) is consolidating recent gains around 1.3400, with domestic risk elevated ahead of next week’s CPI, labour data and the Bank of England decision.

Euro supported by hawkish ECB rhetoric as British Pound struggles after weak GDP

EUR/GBP holds firm on Friday, with the Euro (EUR) modestly outperforming the British Pound (GBP) as weak UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data reinforced signs of a slowing economy. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 0.8633, up from an intraday low of 0.8625.

CEE FX: Risk-on bounce but policy still key – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes that headlines on a possible end to the US-Iran conflict triggered a risk-on move, helping Central and Eastern European currencies erase recent losses.

Canadian Dollar: Overbought Dollar holds near 1.40 ceiling – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret observe that the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is weighed down by weaker Oil prices linked to Iran peace hopes, even as improved risk appetite offers some support.

New Zealand Dollar dips as robust US sentiment, inflation data underpin US Dollar

NZD/USD trades around 0.5830 on Friday at the time of writing, down 0.15% on the day as the US Dollar (USD) maintains a firm tone following a series of strong US economic releases.

European Central Bank: Hawkish forecasts point to higher terminal rate – Nomura

Nomura’s European Economics team, led by Andrzej Szczepaniak and colleagues, notes that the ECB delivered a 25bp hike to a 2.25% depo rate and unveiled more hawkish forecasts.

Bank of England: Hold stance extended as inflation risks linger – TD Securities

TD Securities economists expect the Bank of England (BoE) to keep Bank Rate at 3.75% with a 7-2 vote as Greene joins Pill in calling for a hike. They highlight persistent inflation pressures, upside risks from energy and airfare, and softer demand.

Breaking: United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rises to 48.9 in June

Consumer confidence in the United States (US) improved slightly in June, with the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index rising to 48.9 in the flash estimate from 44.8 in May. This print came in better than the market expectation of 46.

British Pound: Poised to fall toward 1.3100 against US Dollar – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad says GBP/USD has given back part of its US-Iran-related gains and is expected to fall to 1.3100 as United States (US) growth outpaces the United Kingdom (UK).

Federal Reserve: Warsh policy shift and inflation focus – NBC

National Bank of Canada (NBC) strategists assess how Kevin Warsh may reshape Federal Reserve (Fed) policy.

US Dollar: Peace deal talk keeps support intact – ING

ING’s Chris Turner notes that a potential US-Iran peace deal has softened the Dollar, but DXY is still holding firm. He highlights that energy supply losses and inflation risks persist unless Oil flows freely through the Strait of Hormuz.

WTI Price Forecast: RSI points lower as prices remain below key SMAs

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) pares some part of earlier losses on Friday as markets seek confirmation of a possible US-Iran agreement, prompting traders to refrain from placing aggressive bearish bets.

Indian Rupee: External shocks pressure currency outlook – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analysts Charlie Lay and Moses Lim argue that the Rupee remains vulnerable to external shocks, notably Middle East tensions, higher energy costs and El Nino-related risks.

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