EUR/GBP trades around 0.8580 on Thursday at the time of writing, showing little change on the day.
Commerzbank economist Bernd Weidensteiner analyzes recent U.S. employment trends, noting that Nonfarm Payroll growth has slowed sharply, with average monthly gains of just 32,000 over the past year.
Radhika Rao at DBS Group Research highlights that Reserve Bank of India (RBI) minutes from the early-August meeting were more cautious than Governor Sanjay Malhotra’s public messaging.
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Thursday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $66.71 per troy ounce, down 0.42% from the $67.00 it cost on Wednesday.
MUFG’s research team uses AI-driven textual analysis to judge the July FOMC minutes as slightly more hawkish, with broader support for a rate hike and concern over inflation expectations.
UBS' chief economist Paul Donovan notes that the United States (US) Treasury’s plan to at least double purchases of long-term US government bonds triggered a rally, pushing 10-year yields down to levels seen a week ago.
EUR/CAD halts its three-day winning streak, trading around 1.6110 during the European hours on Thursday. The currency cross faces downward pressure as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) gains support from rising crude oil prices.
United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that EUR/USD has broken to a three‑month high near 1.1680 as Dollar weakness and strong momentum underpin the pair.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, trades 2% higher at around $86.00 during the European trading session on Thursday, the highest level seen in over three weeks.
ING’s commodities team, led by Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson, reports Copper market tightness has eased slightly as LME inventories rose by more than 55kt over two sessions, narrowing the cash-to-three-month backwardation.
Dow Jones futures inch lose 0.11% to trade around 53,470 during European hours on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures remain inching lower by 0.06%, trading near 7,720, and Nasdaq 100 futures remain steady around 29,520.
Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao and Moses Lim note India’s economy remains supported by strong domestic demand and exports, with growth projected at 6.7% in fiscal 2026-2027 versus 8% previously. Inflation is forecast at 5%, within the RBI’s 2-6% band, allowing policy to stay on hold at 5.25%.
Societe Generale’s Jan Groen highlights a divided Federal Reserve, with a larger ‘keep-on-hold’ camp waiting for core PCE inflation data in 2H 2026 before backing rate hikes.
The US 10-year Treasury yield attempts to stabilize on Thursday, edging higher to 4.672% at the time of writing after hitting a low of 4.635% on Wednesday.
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes the US Dollar weakened after US Treasury Secretary Bessent announced a major expansion of long-dated Treasury buybacks, which pushed long-end yields lower.
GBP/USD extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 1.3630 during the European hours on Thursday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) faces challenges, driven by the decision of the US Treasury Department to stabilize domestic bond markets.
The Euro (EUR) posts a fresh three-month high at around 1.1693 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday.
United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that USD/JPY dropped sharply to around 158.00, eroding the previous upside bias.
ING strategists Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note Oil has extended its rally for a fifth straight session, with ICE Brent above $92 and WTI over $86 as markets react to tighter US sanctions on Iran.
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes South African inflation surprised on the downside in August, with headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 4.3% and core at 4.2%.
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong say the Dollar has weakened to its lowest level since May as expanded Treasury buybacks pushed long-end US yields lower.
NZD/USD extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 0.5950 during the European hours on Thursday. The pair appreciates as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) gains on expectations of another rate hike from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) in September.
Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu says the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) minutes reveal a more hawkish inflation assessment than the policy statement suggested.
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, August 20:
United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note AUD/USD retested recent highs near 0.7130 but momentum has not strengthened markedly.
The US Dollar (USD) took a beating on Wednesday after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced a plan to buy back long-term government debt to ease Bond yields.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is down against its major currency peers on Thursday, with USD/JPY trading 0.22% higher at around 158.50 during the European trading session. The Japanese currency underperforms as the Trade Deficit widens due to elevated energy prices.
ING’s Chris Turner notes that US Treasury buy-back operations and a drop in longer-dated yields have supported equities and weighed on the Dollar.
The Indian Rupee (INR) snaps three-day losing streak against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday.
Gold (XAU/USD) maintains its offered tone below the $4,500 mark through the first half of the European session on Thursday. Wednesday's hawkish FOMC Minutes turn out to be a key factor undermining the bullion.
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