Silver price advanced by some 0.39% on Friday, capped by rising US yields, even though US data was softer than expected. XAG/USD trades at $64.70, after bouncing off daily lows of $63.51.
The Australian Dollar advanced on Friday after US Retail Sales disappointed investors, increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve might not raise rates, as the economy showed tentative signs of weakness. The AUD/USD trades at 0.7083, up 0.34%
US Treasury yields advanced on Friday during the North American session after reversing their course following the release of US Retail Sales data, which disappointed investors. Meanwhile, the lack of news from the Middle East kept Oill prices higher, amid fears of a resumption of hostilities.
USD/MXN refreshed 24-month lows below 17.00 on Friday, but it has recovered some ground, with buyers stepping in and reclaiming the 17.00 level. Data from the United States (US) weighed on the Greenback, as consumer sentiment and Retail Sales deteriorated.
Societe Generale analysts highlight CNY’s firm trend, with the currency advancing to 6.7424, its strongest level since February 2023, on Dollar weakness and lower US yields.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) extended its slide on Friday, holding below 100.00 at fresh lows after a fourth straight soft US data print.
Commerzbank notes that the Kospi has rebounded 29.5% from its 30 July low, supported by strong tech earnings and improved sentiment toward semiconductor and memory chipmakers.
The EUR/USD pair registers gains of over 0.32% on Friday as traders face key resistance at the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.1567, as bulls eye the 1.1600 psychological figure. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1564 after bouncing off daily lows of 1.1526.
MUFG’s Asia FX Weekly highlights that China’s July activity indicators, following weak Q2 GDP, will be central for the Chinese Yuan and regional FX.
USD/JPY is holding near 159.40 at the time of writing, with little change on the day. A weak United States (US) Consumer Sentiment reading nudged the Dollar lower, but the pair has stayed close to where it started.
USD/CAD extends its decline farther below 1.4000 on Friday and heads for a third consecutive weekly loss. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.3877, at levels last seen in early July.
The Dollar Index took a payroll contraction on August 7, a cooler consumer price reading on August 12 and a flat producer price reading on August 13 without surrendering its range. Friday's data finally did it.
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note USD/SGD is consolidating around 1.28 as softer United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) trims Federal Reserve (Fed) hike expectations but fails to trigger fresh US Dollar (USD) selling.
The USD/CHF turns negative on the day, snapping a four-day winning streak, yet it remains above 0.8100, suggesting further upside is possible if buyers reclaim key resistance levels. At the time of writing, the pair trades at a 0.12% loss.
Gold price registers solid gains of nearly 0.90% on Friday as the US Dollar weakens across the board, following a week that featured softer inflation data, which decreased the chances for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The XAU/USD trades at $4,386, still below the $4,400 threshold.
Societe Generale analysts note USD/KRW has corrected after losing its 200-day moving average near 1478 and is now testing an ascending trend line from 2023 around 1407.
United Overseas Bank (UOB) analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/CNH remains confined to a tight intraday range, with momentum indicators still flat and the pair expected to trade between 6.7400 and 6.7500.
Two cooling inflation readings carried the broad market to a record on Thursday, taking the S&P 500 through 7,800 for the first time, and Friday morning supplied the explanation for where the cooling came from.
NZD/USD gains 0.75% on Friday and trades around 0.5895 at the time of writing, with its rally losing some momentum as it approaches the psychological 0.5900 level.
Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke stresses that European natural gas remains structurally tighter than Oil as Qatar LNG is cut off and US cargoes are redirected to Asia.
Silver (XAG/USD) trades on the front foot on Friday but lacks strong follow-through and remains within the narrow range seen this week. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades around $65 after bouncing from an intraday low of $63.51.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report EUR/USD trading in the mid-1.15s with modest gains versus the US Dollar (USD), supported by euro area Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and a return to trade surplus.
EUR/GBP has traded in a tight range around the mid-0.8500s on Friday, little changed on the day. The latest Eurozone figures came in close to forecasts, and they did nothing to push the pair out of the range it has held all week.
MUFG analysts focus on several ASEAN indicators for regional currencies. They flag Singapore’s July non-oil domestic exports after June’s strong 20.7% year-on-year rise, and expect Malaysia’s CPI to stay contained at 1.9% year-on-year.
TD Securities’ Robert Both expects Canadian headline CPI to rise to 2.9% year-on-year in July, driven by higher gasoline and food prices, while ex. food/energy components stay muted.
ING’s Lynn Song expects Bank Indonesia to keep its benchmark rate unchanged at 5.75% this week, prioritizing Rupiah stability while avoiding an immediate hike. The report highlights BI’s growing reliance on non-rate tools such as SRBI yields and FX intervention.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) rises by some 0.40% on Friday as a batch of US data supports a Federal Reserve (Fed) dovish stance, with consumer sentiment deteriorating while the disinflation process showed further progress.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret observe USD/JPY trading near 159, with modest Japanese Yen (JPY) gains offering reassurance to the Ministry of Finance (MoF) after recent weakness.
Commerzbank’s Barbara Lambrecht observes that despite falling LME Copper stocks and trimmed output guidance from a major producer, the recent Copper rally is losing momentum.
Nordea strategists see the Norwegian Krone (NOK) broadly stable over the next six months after July’s EUR/NOK decline, driven by higher Oil prices and Norges Bank’s increased NOK purchases.
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