EUR/USD trades lower near the 1.1440 area on Thursday, retreating around 0.2% as the US Dollar (USD) gains support from stronger-than-expected United States (US) labor market data.
Standard Chartered analysts Christopher Graham and Carol Liao discuss how the European Union is seeking to rebalance its trade relationship with China without shutting the door on engagement.
Silver (XAG/USD) extends its decline on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds and US Treasury yields stabilize following a two-day drop driven by softer-than-expected US inflation data. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades around $55.75, down 3.50% on the day.
Gold price drops over 1.80% as tensions between the US and Iran fuel fears of a possible Oil supply disruption, driving energy prices higher and potentially triggering another round of inflation. The XAU/USD trades at $3,994.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note GBP/USD is slightly weaker as it gives back part of yesterday’s strong advance, helped by expectations of a centrist, market-friendly Burnham government.
EUR/JPY trades around 185.80 at the time of writing on Thursday, little changed on the day after reaching a one-month high earlier this week.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) added roughly 160 points, or 0.3%, to trade near 52,800 on Thursday while the S&P 500 slipped 0.2% and the NASDAQ Composite shed 0.9%.
NZD/USD fluctuates between minor gains and losses on Thursday as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) hawkish stance supports the Kiwi, while a stronger US Dollar (USD) caps the upside. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.5842 after climbing to a one-month high earlier this week.
The Pound Sterling trims some of its Wednesday gains versus the US Dollar, down by over 0.48% following solid US data. The sell-off comes amid risk aversion and augments the safe-haven appeal of the Greenback. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3375, after peaking near 1.3545.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil spent Thursday's European morning grinding down to 78.37 before ripping nearly two dollars to 80.29 when the Houthis threatened to target all Saudi Oil sites and key facilities should Saudi Arabia escalate its actions against Yemen.
Gold (XAU/USD) edges lower on Thursday as traders look past back-to-back, softer-than-expected US inflation reports and remain focused on renewed Middle East tensions, which are fueling concerns that higher energy prices could reignite inflationary pressure.
The Swiss Franc (CHF) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday as the Greenback regains its footing following a two-day decline. At the time of writing, USD/CHF trades around 0.8080, up nearly 0.35% on the day, rebounding from an intraday low of 0.8044.
AUD/USD trades slightly higher near the 0.7010 area on Thursday, extending its recent recovery as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to gain sustained momentum following mixed United States (US) economic data.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report USD/CAD is flat after the Bank of Canada (BoC) left policy unchanged and maintained a cautious tone on growth and inflation.
ING’s Carsten Brzeski argues that the European Central Bank is likely to keep rates unchanged next week but a surprise hike cannot be ruled out. He notes that renewed Middle East tensions and rising Oil prices have restored the macro backdrop seen before the June meeting.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that United Kingdom (UK) May Gross Domestic Product (GDP) slightly beat expectations, driven by services, but underlying details disappointed as production and construction contracted and growth relied on one subsector.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has entered a consolidation phase against the US Dollar (USD) following a volatile week.
Rabobank’s Bas van Geffen says renewed US-Iran hostilities have shifted Eurozone inflation risks upward. June’s softer-than-expected flash estimate may buy the ECB time in July, but the earlier decline in energy prices has reversed, pointing to firmer inflation readings ahead.
TD Securities reports United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 0.1% month-on-month in May, matching their forecast and beating the market’s flat expectation. Three‑month growth remains strong at 0.7%, with services and manufacturing outperforming.
EUR/USD trades with a downside bias on Thursday, snapping a two-day winning streak as the US Dollar (USD) steadies following recent losses driven by softer-than-expected United States (US) inflation data. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1457, down modestly on the day.
USD/CAD trades around 1.4010 at the time of writing on Thursday, down 0.21% on the day as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) extends its gains against the US Dollar (USD).
Societe Generale’s Kiyong Seong reviews the Bank of Korea’s 25bp hike to 2.75%, noting a unanimously hawkish Monetary Policy Committee. The July statement is assessed as more hawkish than May, and Governor Shin’s comments keep the option of a consecutive hike at the 27 August meeting open.
“BNY’s Geoff Yu says tougher Western action against Chinese automakers could add pressure on Europe’s legacy manufacturers.
ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey highlight that investment funds have sharply increased net long positions in TTF natural gas, driven by fresh longs.
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that hopes of a fiscally conservative Chancellor under incoming United Kingdom (UK) Prime Minister Burnham have supported the British Pound (GBP) and gilts.
GBP/JPY trades with a mild negative bias on Thursday, taking a breather after climbing to its highest level since December 2007 the previous day, as the British Pound benefited from easing political uncertainty and expectations of greater fiscal discipline.
According to a report from the US Department of Labor (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance shrank to 208K for the week ending July 11.
Retail Sales in the United States (US) rose by 0.2% on a monthly basis in June to $768.6 billion, the US Census Bureau reported on Thursday. This print followed the 1% increase recorded in May and came in line with the market expectation. On a yearly basis, Retail Sales were up 6.7%.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) has steadied near a one‑month low after softer United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data weighed on Fed funds pricing.
TD Securities notes the Bank of Canada (BoC) kept its policy rate at 2.25% and softened guidance by removing references to both rate-cut risks and consecutive hikes. Markets interpreted the statement as mildly dovish, but prior moves limited volatility.
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