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Forecasting the upcoming week: The US Dollar fell as ceasefire hopes supported risk sentiment

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell toward the 98.90 region on Friday as improving market sentiment linked to developments in the Middle East reduces demand for safe-haven assets.

Silver Price Forecast: XAG consolidates near $75.50 as bears eye 200-day SMA

Silver (XAG/USD) price retreats 0.16% on Friday, consolidating around the $75.00-$76.00 area and is virtually unchanged, near the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $75.70.

Gold climbs on US‑Iran ceasefire progress as Fed rate hike bets fade

Gold (XAU/USD) price advanced more than 1.50% on Friday amid news that Iran and the US are close to signing a deal aimed at extending the ceasefire for 60 days to allow negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,563, after bouncing off daily lows of $4,489.

British Pound rebounds as US Dollar weakens on Iran deal hopes

GBP/USD holds minor gains on Friday after rebounding from intraday lows, supported by improving risk sentiment surrounding a potential US-Iran peace deal. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.3460 and is on course to end the week little changed.

Japanese Yen muted amid steady US PCE data

The USD/JPY pair trades in a muted fashion toward the 159.20 region on Friday as the United States Dollar (USD) finds support following the latest inflation data, while the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains pressured amid uncertainty surrounding the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) policy outlook.

Dow Jones Industrial Average buys the Iran deal Trump described, not the one being negotiated

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) punched out a fresh intraday record near 51,050 with the bid traceable to a Truth Social post in which President Donald Trump declared he would be in the Situation Room making a "final determination" on the US-Iran agreement and laid out terms that sounded sus

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD struggles for direction despite US-Iran deal hopes, softer US Dollar

Silver (XAG/USD) trades flat on Friday, failing to capitalize on improving market sentiment surrounding a potential US-Iran peace deal, even as the US Dollar (USD) slides to a two-week low. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades around $75.60 and is on track to end the week virtually unchanged.

Iran rejects Trump’s Hormuz deal claims as talks near end – Fars

According to Fars news agency, the US and Iran are in the final stages of an agreement, though a final decision hasn’t been made.

Euro rises as US-Iran deal hopes sink US Dollar and Oil

The EUR/USD pair edges up by 0.12% on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) drops amid hostilities in the Middle East, while a US-Iran deal is reportedly pending approval by the White House and senior Iranian officials. At the time of writing, EUR/USD trades at 1.1664.

Gold approaches $4,600 as US-Iran deal hopes pressure Oil, US Dollar

Gold (XAU/USD) extends its rebound on Friday as traders assess the prospects of a potential US-Iran deal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,583 after recovering from a two-month low of $4,366 touched on Thursday.

Canadian Dollar recovers as softer US Dollar offsets pressure from weak GDP data

USD/CAD reverses its intraday gains on Friday as a softer US Dollar (USD) helps the Canadian Dollar (CAD) recover from weakness driven by softer-than-expected Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures.

Breaking: US President Trump says naval blockade will be lifted

In a post published on Truth Social on Friday, United States (US) President Donald Trump said that the naval blockade will be lifted and ships caught in the Strait of Hormuz may start the process of "heading home."

Australian Dollar climbs as improving US-Iran ceasefire hopes pressure US Dollar

The AUD/USD pair advances toward the 0.7180 region on Friday as the United States (US) Dollar (USD) remains under pressure amid improving market sentiment linked to renewed hopes for a longer-lasting ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran.

"Progress on lowering inflation has stalled": Fed's Bowman takes aim at Iran war

Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman said progress on lowering inflation has stalled while discussing the economic outlook and monetary policy in a speech at a conference in Iceland on Friday. Bowman claimed that the longer the Iran war continues, the greater the risks to inflation become.

British Pound recovers against the Japanese Yen as Bailey strikes a hawkish tone

GBP/JPY trims part of its earlier intraday losses on Friday as the British Pound (GBP) draws support from hawkish remarks by Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 214.15 after recovering from an intraday low of 213.59.

“Inflation pressures are weighing on the economy”: Fed’s Paulson claims

Anna Paulson, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Philadelphia, said inflation is a drag on the United States (US) economy while discussing the economic outlook and regional trends at an event hosted by the Chamber of Commerce of Southern New Jersey on Friday.

Iran's top negotiator Qalibaf: We have no trust in guarantees or words

In a post published on X on Friday, Iran's top negotiator Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf said they have no trust in guarantees or words, and added: "Only actions are the measures, no action will be taken before the other side acts."

Oil: Supply surge weighs on prices – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee notes that Brent and WTI have fallen sharply, as markets anticipate abundant supply from the Gulf.

DXY: Dollar risks upside break – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that resilient US growth and sticky PCE inflation keep the Dollar supported despite improved risk sentiment from progress on a US-Iran deal.

Canada annualized Gross Domestic Product contracts 0.1% in Q1

Canada's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was unchanged on a quarterly basis in the first quarter of 2026 following the 0.2% contraction recorded in the last quarter of 2025, Statistics Canada reported on Friday.

Japanese Yen: Intervention caps upside near 160 – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman reports that USD/JPY is trading directionless above 159.00 after Japan’s Ministry of Finance conducted record-sized FX intervention to cap the pair around 160.00.

Germany annual CPI inflation declines to 2.6% in May vs. 2.8% expected

Annual inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), softened to 2.6% in May's flash estimate from 2.9% in April. This print came in below the market expectation of 2.8%. On a monthly basis, the CPI declined 0.2% following the 0.6% increase recorded in April.

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD recovers further to near $4,530 amid falling Oil prices

Gold price (XAU/USD) is up 0.7% to near $4,530 during the European trading session on Friday. The precious metal extends its Thursday’s recovery move, as Oil prices decline due to renewed hopes of a permanent peace deal between the United States (US) and Iran.

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Sets for a strong weekly close as RBNZ calls for quick hikes

The NZD/USD pair trades 0.55% higher to near 0.5967 during the European trading session on Friday and is up 2% so far this week.

Euro remains capped below 1.1660 ahead of German inflation data

The Euro (EUR) holds moderate losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with price action trapped within the last two weeks’ trading range, below 1.1660.

New Zealand Dollar: Resistance test as RBNZ turns hawkish – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman highlights that the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is outperforming, with NZD/USD approaching the 0.6000 resistance as New Zealand business sentiment improves and RBNZ Assistant Governor Silk signals all options, including a 50 bps hike, are on the table for July.

Fed's Schmid: Surging oil is weighing on spending power

Kansas City Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank President Jeffrey Schmid said during the European trading session on Friday that elevated energy prices are diminishing households’ purchasing power.

WTI Oil hits fresh one-month lows below $86.50 amid US-Iran truce extension

Crude prices trend lower for the third day in a row on Friday, with the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) barrel trading around $86.50 at the time of writing after hitting one-month lows a few pips below $86.00. WTI Oil is on track for a nearly 15% decline over the last two weeks.

Euro: ECB hikes priced as Dollar softens – DBS

DBS strategist Philip Wee notes markets have strong expectations that the European Central Bank will hike at its next meeting, even as the Federal Reserve (Fed) debates internal reforms.

Fed: June meeting tests new chair – DBS

Philip Wee of DBS Group Research highlights that US Treasury yields have eased as PCE inflation moderates, but headline inflation remains elevated, keeping real Fed Funds Rates in focus.

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