The Pound Sterling (GBP) advances 0.22% against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, even though the US economy grew faster than previously reported in Q1, while inflation readings suggest the Federal Reserve (Fed) needs to tighten policy.
UOB economists Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Sathit Talaengsatya note that the Bank of Thailand (BoT) kept its policy rate at 1.00% and is expected to hold this level through 2027.
Gold (XAU/USD) shows signs of stabilization on Thursday as traders digest the latest US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which came broadly in line with market expectations.
USD/JPY trades slightly lower on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) eases after the latest US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data broadly matched market expectations. Still, the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains pinned near its 40-year lows. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 161.75.
MUFG highlights that strong earnings guidance from Micron Technology, a key AI memory supplier, has boosted sentiment in AI and tech stocks.
TD Securities strategists note the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) June Summary of Deliberations maintained its recent balancing act between higher Oil price spillover risks and domestic softness.
The AUD/USD pair trades muted near the 0.6900 area on Thursday, with the Aussie struggling to gain amid a pullback in the US Dollar (USD) as investors digested the latest United States (US) inflation figures and fresh geopolitical risks around the Strait of Hormuz.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report USD/JPY is steady ahead of Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), where consensus expects a pickup in both headline and core inflation into the mid-to-upper 1% range.
USD/CAD trades around 1.4205 on Thursday at the time of writing, down 0.21% on the day after recently reaching its highest level in 14 months.
Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner and Christoph Balz describe the United States as a long‑term growth success, driven by population gains, immigration and productivity, but now facing a serious challenge from China.
EUR/USD recovers from intraday lows on Thursday as traders digest a heavy batch of US economic data. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1362, staging a rebound from thirteen-month lows reached on Wednesday.
ABN AMRO strategist Georgette Boele notes that recent Dollar strength has been driven mainly by a reassessment of the Federal Reserve outlook, with markets now pricing in rate hikes into 2026. She argues this repricing may have gone too far, as ABN AMRO still expects Fed rate cuts around year-end.
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan reports broad Asia FX weakness versus the Dollar, with the Thai Baht underperforming. The Bank of Thailand has kept its policy rate at 1% as growth remains low and uneven and credit conditions soft.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil trades around $69.30 at the time of writing, down 0.65% on Thursday. The American benchmark Crude is now posting a fourth consecutive day of losses, weighed down by a convergence of supply-side factors reshaping market expectations.
TD Securities’ Izidor Flajsman highlights that during historical US equity ‘lost decades’, Precious Metals, especially Gold, have delivered strong real returns while broad Commodities were more mixed.
Commerzbank economists Bernd Weidensteiner and Christoph Balz review 250 years of US economic history, highlighting how persistent inflation has eroded the value of the Dollar and how federal debt has surged back to World War II highs.
The final GDP Growth Rate showed the economy expanded by 2.1% in the January-March period, the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Thursday. The reading shows a marked increase from the prior quarter’s 0.5% expansion.
Durable Goods Orders in the United States (US) declined by 4.5%, or $15.6 billion, in May to $332.1 billion, the US Census Bureau reported on Thursday. This reading followed the 8.5% increase recorded in April and came in line with the market expectation.
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance shrank to 215K for the week ending June 20.
Annual inflation in the United States (US), as measured by the change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, climbed to 4.1% in May from 3.8% in April, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Thursday. This reading came in line with the market expectation.
EUR/GBP trades on the back foot around 0.8620 on Thursday, hovering near the lower end of the multi-month range that has held since July 2025.
ABN AMRO’s Georgette Boele flags that speculative positioning in the Japanese Yen is very stretched, with large net shorts coinciding with USD/JPY trading near levels last seen in 1986.
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky warns that a stronger Dollar and lingering Fed hike risks are pressuring Central and Eastern European currencies. Weaker FX raises inflation concerns for open CEE economies just as higher Oil and food prices loom.
DBS Group Research economist Sherilyn Chew analyses Indian government bond performance after the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) June 5 capital flow liberalisation.
Izidor Flajsman at TD Securities analyses past US equity ‘lost decades’ and finds that headline indices delivered flat to negative real returns, while Small Cap, Value, Energy and Non-Durables outperformed.
United States (US) Secretary of State Marco Rubio reiterates after meeting with leaders from Gulf nations that Iran’s toll system near the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage to almost 20% of global energy supply, is unacceptable.
NZD/USD trades around 0.5640, declining for a seventh consecutive day and hovering near its lowest levels since November 2025. The pair remains under pressure in an environment dominated by a resilient US Dollar (USD) and persistent risk aversion across financial markets.
The Euro (EUR) trades lower against the US Dollar (USD) for the fourth consecutive day on Thursday, as investors’ hopes of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes drive markets ahead of the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.
MUFG’s Lee Hardman and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart note the US Dollar (USD) is trading close to year-to-date highs as markets debate whether the Federal Reserve (Fed) will follow its hawkish rhetoric with actual rate hikes.
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) strategists argue that while the United States (US) consumer has remained resilient in 2026, persistent inflation and the earlier energy price shock have eroded households’ ability to absorb further price increases.
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