DBS economists Radhika Rao and Mo Ji forecast Singapore’s advance 2Q26 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth at 5.8% year-on-year and 1.5% quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted, slightly below 1Q26 but still resilient.
Silver price retreats on Friday during the North American session, edging down by 0.54%, weighed by high US Treasury yields and a sudden shift in market sentiment, after US President Trump revealed that the ceasefire is “over.” At the time of writing, the XAG/USD trades at $59.66.
Commerzbank’s report on Taiwan notes that stronger inflation, with core CPI at 2.5%, is likely to push the CBC towards a more hawkish stance, including a possible 12.5 bp hike in H2.
The upcoming week will bring a major test for the US Dollar (USD), with investors focusing on the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI), Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh’s congressional testimony and a broad set of activity indicators.
DBS economists Radhika Rao and Mo Ji expect the Bank of Korea (BoK) to raise its base rate to 2.75% from 2.50% in July, citing persistent CPI inflation above 3% and resilient growth.
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan highlights the Indonesian rupiah’s continued vulnerability as USD/IDR moved back above 18,000 amid renewed Middle East tensions and elevated US yields.
Gold (XAU/USD) price retreats on Friday during the North American session, pressured by US President Donald Trump's comments allowing the resumption of US-Iran talks, but reiterating that the ceasefire is “over.” The XAU/USD pair trades at around $4,103, down 0.48%.
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) kept the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) at 2.75% and expects it to stay on hold through 2026, with domestic fundamentals described as broadly supportive.
Commerzbank analysts highlight that China’s June Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowed to 1.0% year-on-year while Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 4.1%, widening the PPI-CPI gap and squeezing downstream margins.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades within a volatile range on Friday as a sparse US economic calendar leaves traders watching developments in the Middle East after renewed hostilities between the United States (US) and Iran this week.
EUR/USD trades in a muted fashion near the 1.1430 area on Friday, as a weaker US Dollar (USD) helps the pair hold onto modest Thursday gains. That was true even after inflation data from Germany and France showed limited price pressure.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades at 52,609 on Friday, up 0.26%, two sessions after printing a record 53,333 and one news cycle into the second official death of the US-Iran ceasefire.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil trades at $70.98 on Friday, down 1%, after a European-morning climb to $72.83 met a wall of New York selling that drove the barrel to a $70.70 session low inside two hours.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) holds firm on Friday during the North American session as risk appetite deteriorated after US President Donald Trump posted on social media that the ceasefire with Iran is over, even though negotiations continue.
The Federal Reserve (Fed) released its monetary policy report on Friday , in which the US central bank acknowledged that inflation remains elevated and that the labor market is broadly stable, a signal that the price stability goal hasn’t been achieved.
Silver (XAG/USD) trades slightly lower on Friday, hovering around $59.90 at the time of writing, down a modest 0.08% on the day.
NZD/USD remains on the front foot on Friday and is heading for a second consecutive weekly gain after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) on Wednesday and signaled that further policy tightening may be needed, boosting the New Zealand D
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes USD/SGD remains range-bound, with intraday action expected between 1.2905 and 1.2940 as recent price moves provided no fresh directional clues.
AUD/USD advances toward the 0.6960 area on Friday, supported by a softer US Dollar (USD) and renewed strength in the Chinese Yuan (CNY). The pair continues to recover on the four-hour chart, although escalating tensions between the United States (US) and Iran are limiting broader risk appetite.
Gold (XAU/USD) trades on the back foot on Friday, struggling to build on the previous day's gains and heading for a weekly loss as renewed hostilities in the Middle East have revived fears of energy-driven inflation and Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes.
EUR/USD trims gains on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds while traders digest the latest developments in the Middle East. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.1433, easing from a one-week high of 1.1460 touched earlier during the Asian session.
USD/JPY falls toward 161.80 on Friday, down 0.37% at the time of writing, as the Japanese Yen (JPY) benefits from an unexpected shift in the Japanese government's stance on domestic asset allocation.
OCBC strategists Christopher Wong and Sim Moh Siong note that the European Central Bank's (ECB) June minutes justified the latest rate hike while keeping flexibility on future moves. Since then, Oil prices have fallen sharply and June Consumer Price Index (CPI) surprised on the downside.
DBS economists Radhika Rao and Mo Ji project China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to slow from 5.0% year-on-year in Q1 to 4.8% in Q2.
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Nathan Janzen notes that Canadian labour markets showed further signs of stabilisation in June, following a stronger improvement in May. Employment rose modestly, while per-worker conditions improved and the unemployment rate edged down to 6.5%.
ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song project India’s consumer inflation to edge up to 4.2% year-on-year in June, while wholesale inflation moderates to 9%.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday after stronger-than-expected Canadian employment data. At the time of writing, USD/CAD is trading around 1.4160 after falling to a more than two-week low of 1.4136.
Societe Generale analysts Dev Ashish and Brendan McKenna note that Mexico’s June inflation data surprised to the downside, with headline and core measures moving close to Banxico’s target range.
Qatar has dispatched negotiators to Iran for meetings with Iranian officials in a renewed diplomatic effort to de-escalate tensions and create conditions for broader negotiations to continue, according to a Reuters report citing a source familiar with the matter.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil trades around $72 at the time of writing on Friday, up 0.42% on the day, but remains in a consolidation phase after reaching a more than two-week high earlier this week.
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